Swindon Supermarine vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAN
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
SWI
22%
20%
57%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 1
TIV
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TIV
1 - 1
SWI
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 3
HUN
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
HAY
50%
22%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PLY
1 - 1
BAS
33%
24%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 0
BAS
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
4 - 2
POO
17%
20%
64%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
KID
76%
15%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |