Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
18
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 1
SWI
3%
9%
88%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
KAE
2 - 3
SWI
10%
16%
74%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 3
RWD
61%
20%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
JEU
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
WIL
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USH
2 - 0
BET
36%
22%
42%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
USH
30%
22%
48%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USH
0 - 5
DIF
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
USH
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USH
0 - 3
ETZ
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |