Swift Hesperange vs Jeunesse d'Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
43
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
WIL
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 0
SWI
15%
21%
65%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
KAE
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
F91
0 - 4
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
1 - 5
SWI
4%
10%
87%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
USM
3 - 1
JEU
28%
25%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 0
DIF
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 3
JEU
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JEU
6 - 0
ETZ
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JEU
0 - 1
WIL
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |