Swift Hesperange vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 6
SWI
23%
23%
53%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
SWI
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 1
USS
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
FFN
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FFN
1 - 5
USH
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ETZ
1 - 0
FFN
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FFN
1 - 2
ESC
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAM
3 - 2
FFN
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |