Swieqi United vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
1º
7
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swieqi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
QRE
0 - 1
SWI
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
3 - 0
SWI
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
SWI
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTA
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
MTA
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
0 - 1
LIJ
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
MTA
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |