Europa League 1/16
Global 4-4
Swarovski Tirol vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 1
EIS
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1986 |
RAP
2 - 1
SWA
73%
14%
13%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 4
AUS
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
VIE
3 - 1
SWA
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
ANT
2 - 3
SDL
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
SDL
3 - 0
KVK
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
KSV
1 - 0
SDL
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
SDL
1 - 1
RIJ
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
SDL
1 - 1
SER
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |