Champions League Last 16
Global 3-11
Swarovski Tirol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
VIE
0 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
RMA
9 - 1
SWA
88%
9%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
AUS
1 - 1
SWA
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1990 |
SWA
3 - 0
LBN
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1990 |
SWA
4 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
RMA
2 - 1
ESP
93%
5%
2%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
RBU
2 - 1
RMA
11%
22%
67%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
RMA
9 - 1
SWA
88%
9%
4%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
OVI
0 - 0
RMA
14%
22%
64%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
RMA
0 - 0
LOG
93%
6%
2%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |