Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Swarovski Tirol vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1986 |
WIE
1 - 1
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
2 - 0
SWA
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
SWA
1 - 0
LIN
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
LAS
1 - 0
SWA
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
SWA
4 - 1
STR
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
ETA
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
DIM
1 - 1
CSK
26%
29%
45%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CSK
7 - 2
BVR
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 3
CSK
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 1
SLI
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |