Swansea City vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.9%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SUN
1 - 1
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 2
SWA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NTT
1 - 1
SWA
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EXE
0 - 0
YOR
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 0
YEO
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 2
HAR
41%
29%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
YOR
2 - 2
BRA
20%
26%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WYC
3 - 0
YOR
60%
23%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |