Swansea City vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SWA
2 - 2
HAR
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 2
YOR
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
BRO
3 - 1
SWA
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SWA
2 - 0
BOU
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BCF
3 - 2
SWA
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
WIM
3 - 2
WOL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
WOL
2 - 2
SHW
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
DER
1 - 4
WOL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
WOL
3 - 0
BUR
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
WOL
3 - 1
WAL
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |