FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Swansea City vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
63%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
EXE
4 - 0
SWA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
WHU
1 - 1
SWA
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
SWA
2 - 1
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
LEY
1 - 1
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
HUL
0 - 2
SWA
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
MUD
4 - 1
WHU
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
WHU
1 - 1
SWA
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
WHU
2 - 0
COV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
ARS
1 - 0
WHU
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
WHU
2 - 1
EVE
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |