Swansea City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
LIV
3 - 0
SWA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 5
WHU
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
BIR
1 - 1
SWA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
SWA
2 - 1
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
SUN
1 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
STO
1 - 0
MAC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
EVE
3 - 1
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
STO
4 - 0
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
WHU
1 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |