Cup Winners Cup 1/32
Global 3-1
Swansea City vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1982 |
ASV
3 - 0
SWA
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
SWA
1 - 2
MID
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
NTT
0 - 2
SWA
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
TOT
2 - 1
SWA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
SWA
1 - 3
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
AMO
5 - 0
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
SPB
2 - 0
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
UDL
4 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
SPB
0 - 3
POR
65%
21%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |