Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 17-0
Swansea City vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
STO
4 - 1
SWA
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
WAT
2 - 1
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
SWA
4 - 0
NOR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
SWA
2 - 1
COV
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
NOT
0 - 0
SWA
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SLI
2 - 4
ARI
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
ARI
4 - 0
SLI
82%
11%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLI
97%
3%
1%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
SLI
0 - 2
FCB
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
BOA
8 - 0
SLI
75%
14%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |