Swansea City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2011 |
SWA
3 - 1
NTT
45%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
NTT
0 - 0
SWA
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SWA
4 - 0
SHE
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 2
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
4 - 1
IPS
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
DER
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COV
0 - 0
REA
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
REA
2 - 3
SHE
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |