Swansea City vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
HAV
4 - 2
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 3
SWA
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 0
BHA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 1
HAV
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
SWA
30%
26%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 2
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
LUT
29%
26%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
WAL
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |