Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-6
Swansea City vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
PAN
3 - 2
SWA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
SWA
1 - 1
EXE
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
EXE
3 - 0
SWA
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1988 |
SWA
1 - 3
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
COL
2 - 2
SWA
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
PAN
3 - 2
LAR
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ETH
0 - 0
PAN
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
PAN
3 - 2
SWA
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAN
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
PAN
1 - 0
DOX
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |