Swansea City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWA
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 1
SWA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1982 |
SWA
0 - 0
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
WHU
3 - 2
SWA
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
LEI
2 - 3
NOT
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
NOT
0 - 1
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
LIV
5 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
NOT
4 - 0
STO
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
WBA
2 - 2
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |