Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MID
1 - 0
SWA
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 3
REA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
SWA
28%
27%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 1
BPO
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOU
4 - 0
SWA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 0
POS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 0
NTT
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 0
LUT
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
NTT
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NTT
3 - 0
PNE
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |