Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 2
SWA
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
MKD
1 - 3
SWA
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SWA
7 - 1
BRI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 5
SWA
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
NTT
3 - 1
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
NTT
2 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 0
NTT
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 2
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 3
NTT
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |