Swansea City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
SWA
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SWA
2 - 1
HUL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SWA
2 - 1
ATL
22%
24%
53%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
SWA
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 3
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 1
MKD
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOR
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 2
SHE
13%
19%
69%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |