EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-1
Swansea City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
YOR
1 - 0
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SWA
2 - 0
HUL
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1999 |
SWA
2 - 0
CAM
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1999 |
BRE
4 - 1
SWA
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
ROC
0 - 3
SWA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 1
MIL
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
MIL
0 - 1
LUT
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
REA
2 - 0
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
BRO
3 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
MIL
2 - 2
PNE
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |