Swansea City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 0
SWA
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HUL
2 - 1
SWA
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SWA
3 - 2
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHL
3 - 1
SWA
82%
12%
5%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SWA
2 - 0
LEI
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MID
1 - 3
MUD
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MID
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
STO
2 - 0
MID
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRY
1 - 0
MID
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MID
3 - 2
OXF
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |