Cup Winners Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Swansea City vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
SWA
0 - 3
NTT
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
SWA
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1983 |
SWA
2 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 1
IPS
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
LUT
3 - 1
SWA
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1983 |
MAG
2 - 1
ERF
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
CZJ
2 - 3
MAG
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
MAG
0 - 0
ROS
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1983 |
ZWI
2 - 2
MAG
16%
22%
62%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
MAG
0 - 0
CZJ
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |