Swansea City vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SWA
3 - 2
YEO
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
GUL
0 - 0
SWA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
DON
3 - 1
SWA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
SWA
2 - 3
SOU
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SWA
2 - 1
STE
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAN
33%
25%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
DAR
0 - 1
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
CAM
2 - 4
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
MAC
4 - 0
HUR
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |