FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-8
Swansea City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
SWA
3 - 3
PAN
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
PAN
3 - 2
SWA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
SWA
1 - 1
EXE
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
EXE
3 - 0
SWA
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1988 |
SWA
1 - 3
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
NTT
2 - 2
LIV
32%
27%
42%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1989 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHW
78%
16%
7%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
LIV
0 - 0
MUD
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
CHL
2 - 5
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |