FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-5
Swansea City vs Havant & Waterlooville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
SWA
30%
26%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
3 - 2
LEE
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
4 - 1
CHE
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
3 - 0
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
6 - 2
HOR
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
HAV
2 - 0
BOG
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
LEW
4 - 0
HAV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BOG
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HAV
1 - 0
EAS
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
FIS
4 - 2
HAV
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |