Swansea City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWA
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
SWA
3 - 1
MKD
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
SWA
0 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
SWI
0 - 0
SWA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 1
SWA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 0
TRA
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
YEO
2 - 0
HAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
SWI
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
OLD
2 - 1
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
HAR
1 - 2
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |