EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-3
Swansea City vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
SWA
2 - 1
CRE
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
WYC
0 - 1
SWA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
SWA
2 - 1
BHA
46%
27%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
BOU
3 - 1
SWA
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SWA
1 - 3
WRE
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
SCA
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FUL
0 - 0
GIL
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
NOR
1 - 1
GIL
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
COL
1 - 1
GIL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
EXE
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |