Swansea City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ROT
2 - 2
SWA
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
GUL
1 - 3
SWA
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 0
OLD
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
YEO
1 - 0
SWA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 2
BPO
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
3 - 0
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
4 - 3
HUR
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MKD
0 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
COL
1 - 2
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |