Swansea City vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 3
SWA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 1
REA
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
SWA
2 - 2
WYC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
REA
1 - 1
SWA
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
RUS
0 - 2
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROC
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
CAM
0 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
LIN
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |