League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Swansea City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 4
SWA
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SWA
2 - 2
SOU
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
OLD
1 - 1
SWA
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SWA
0 - 2
ROT
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BPO
1 - 0
SWA
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
BOU
2 - 2
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
HAR
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 3
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
BPO
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 2
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |