Swansea City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 1
IPS
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
LUT
3 - 1
SWA
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 1
STO
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
LIV
3 - 0
SWA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 5
WHU
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
ASV
4 - 0
STO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
WHU
2 - 0
ASV
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |