Swansea City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EVE
0 - 0
SWA
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
SWA
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 0
LEI
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
STO
2 - 1
SWA
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 3
AND
68%
19%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
BUR
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 2
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
ARS
28%
24%
48%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 2
HUL
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |