SW Nierfeld vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 1
NIE
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 0
SVR
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SFD
1 - 5
NIE
33%
22%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 1
HBE
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BGP
0 - 3
NIE
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
HEW
5 - 0
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GER
2 - 3
DUR
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SVR
1 - 2
GER
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
SFD
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HBE
4 - 1
GER
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |