Svetkavitsa Targovishte vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
16º
13º
14
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
92% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 1 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 0
SVE
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
SHU
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AKS
2 - 0
SVE
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 1
CHE
5%
14%
81%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 0
SVE
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UST
1 - 1
CHE
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UST
2 - 0
FKR
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
UST
51%
20%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
SHU
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AKS
3 - 1
UST
57%
19%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |