Zebau Bad Ischl vs Union Perg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
14º
11º
33
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 56% |
|
Possible next round
|
44.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STM
5 - 4
SVZ
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 5
UNI
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVZ
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
4 - 1
SVZ
66%
16%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 5
PWD
36%
21%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
4 - 1
SVW
19%
21%
61%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 2
UNP
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 3
OED
16%
20%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
UNP
47%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 1
ASV
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |