Zebau Bad Ischl vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
16º
11º
45
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
STM
3 - 3
SVZ
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVZ
3 - 2
SBL
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 2
SVZ
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SVZ
3 - 2
BAD
38%
22%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SVZ
1 - 2
OED
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
OST
6 - 5
GRU
45%
21%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
STM
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SBL
3 - 2
OST
24%
21%
56%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OST
0 - 3
SVF
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 1
OST
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |