Zebau Bad Ischl vs Grün-Weiß Micheldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
14º
11º
35
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 31% |
|
Possible next round
|
44.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
SVZ
39%
22%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 0
WEL
57%
19%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OST
2 - 3
SVZ
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 1
UNP
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STM
5 - 4
SVZ
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
2 - 0
SVW
45%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 8
GRU
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 2
OED
24%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
GRU
46%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
3 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |