Zams vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
74.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 1
SVZ
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
SVZ
1 - 2
TEL
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
MOT
3 - 4
SVZ
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KIR
3 - 1
STJ
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
REI
8 - 1
KIR
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
KIR
2 - 4
IMS
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
SVI
1 - 3
KIR
53%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
TEL
3 - 1
KIR
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |