SV Weingarten vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Weingarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SAA
2 - 2
SVW
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
SVW
1 - 1
HBI
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SVW
4 - 0
SVK
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
WIR
0 - 2
SVW
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
SVW
4 - 0
PIR
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MAY
1 - 1
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 1
SAA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
3 - 2
HBI
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SVK
1 - 2
HOM
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 1
WIR
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |