Unter-Flockenbach vs Darmstadt 98 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+620%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
17º
14º
11
8º
17º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 80 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 74 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 68 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 66 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 64 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 59 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 57 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 46 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 43 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 32 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 25 |
19º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 1
SUF
38%
20%
42%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 0
MAR
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
SUF
56%
19%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
EWM
3 - 3
SUF
12%
15%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
SUF
9%
12%
79%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 2
FCH
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAU
0 - 0
DAR
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
HUN
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +1 |