Unter-Flockenbach vs Darmstadt 98 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2204%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
17º
10º
35
5º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 1
SUF
38%
20%
42%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 0
MAR
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
SUF
56%
19%
26%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
EWM
3 - 3
SUF
12%
15%
73%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
SUF
9%
12%
79%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 2
FCH
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAU
0 - 0
DAR
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 1
HUN
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +1 |