Lind vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
81.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
TRE
3 - 0
SVL
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SVL
1 - 2
MSA
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
WAC
6 - 0
SVL
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SVL
2 - 2
GMD
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 0
SVL
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 2
LEN
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANB
4 - 3
FLC
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FLC
3 - 0
RAP
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 0
FLC
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 2
FLC
29%
22%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |