Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 8-1
SV Thor Genk vs Red Boys Differdange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Thor Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
THO
2 - 1
KFC
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CER
1 - 2
THO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
THO
0 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
THO
1 - 1
MOL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
KSK
0 - 0
THO
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Red Boys Differdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
RBD
0 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 85 | 73 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
SCP
4 - 0
RBD
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 84 | 72 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
RBD
0 - 4
AZA
6%
11%
83%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 0
RBD
93%
5%
2%
|
12 | 85 | 73 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
OMO
6 - 1
RBD
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 71 | 59 | 0 |