SV Steinbach 1920 vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
17º
15º
50
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Steinbach 1920
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 3
STE
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STE
1 - 4
HSC
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
STE
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 3
RWW
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
STE
2 - 4
MAR
51%
21%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FER
4 - 6
TUR
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAU
1 - 0
FER
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
HUN
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 4
FER
34%
22%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 2
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |