SV Sparta Werlte vs BW Papenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Sparta Werlte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GWF
4 - 2
WER
25%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
WER
3 - 1
TRW
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VWI
0 - 2
WER
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
BW Papenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TRW
1 - 3
BWP
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GEL
0 - 4
BWP
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BWP
1 - 2
VWI
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
BWL
2 - 1
BWP
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
TDI
1 - 0
BWP
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |