Sparta Lichtenberg vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
53%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
8
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
SVS
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
LIC
10%
14%
77%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
1 - 6
SVS
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
ANK
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 1
SVS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LIC
2 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
ANK
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OPT
4 - 1
UNI
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
DSC
62%
18%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |