Sparta Lichtenberg vs TUS Makkabi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
11º
8º
10
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 58 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 32 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
SVS
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 0
SVS
52%
20%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
SVS
23%
20%
57%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
FBI
2 - 3
SVS
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
TUS Makkabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUM
4 - 0
SCS
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAH
4 - 2
TUM
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TUM
1 - 1
OPT
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TUM
0 - 5
BSC
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 2
TUM
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |