Sparta Lichtenberg vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
28
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SVS
5 - 0
LIC
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TBD
2 - 0
SVS
59%
19%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
RCH
3 - 2
SVS
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIC
2 - 0
SVS
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 3
POM
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 3
RSV
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SCS
4 - 1
DSC
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 1
HER
50%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
FMS
3 - 0
DSC
11%
16%
74%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -3 |