Sparta Lichtenberg vs Anker Wismar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
36
7º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 1
SVS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 0
OPT
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TEN
4 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
DSC
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +4 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Anker Wismar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
OPT
0 - 3
ANK
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ANK
2 - 1
DSC
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
3 - 0
ANK
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 2
HZE
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ANK
1 - 0
PAL
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |